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AMD Shares Fall After Weak Forecast Revives Concerns Over AI Chip Competition

  • February 5, 2026
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Advanced Micro Devices saw its shares fall nearly 7% in premarket trading on Wednesday after the chipmaker issued a quarterly revenue forecast that failed to meet investor expectations, reigniting concerns over its ability to effectively challenge Nvidia in the fast-growing artificial intelligence chip market. The pullback came despite AMD having delivered strong share price performance in 2025, with its stock doubling over the year and outperforming the broader semiconductor index, underscoring the market’s sensitivity to near-term signals around AI revenue traction.

The decline in AMD shares coincided with a broader selloff across global software stocks, driven by renewed fears that artificial intelligence could displace traditional software tools and related services. The sentiment shift followed the release of an updated chatbot from AI developer Anthropic, which prompted investors to reassess the pace at which AI adoption translates into measurable productivity gains. For hardware makers such as AMD and Nvidia, the concern remains that while investment in AI infrastructure continues to rise, real-world returns and monetisation may take longer to materialise, testing investor patience with elevated capital spending by major technology companies.

In premarket trading, Nvidia shares slipped 0.6%, while Broadcom declined 1.24%. The iShares Semiconductor ETF also dipped around 0.5%, reflecting a cautious tone across the sector. Although AMD has positioned itself as a key alternative supplier in the AI accelerator market, analysts have pointed out that its gains remain concentrated among a relatively narrow customer base. At the same time, Nvidia has continued to strengthen its ecosystem, reportedly pursuing aggressive partnership strategies, including a $20 billion push linked to chip startup Groq, aimed at reinforcing its dominance across AI workloads.

AMD forecast first-quarter revenue of approximately $9.8 billion, with a margin of plus or minus $300 million. While the guidance came slightly ahead of analysts’ expectations of $9.67 billion, it still represented a sequential decline from the $10.27 billion reported in the fourth quarter. The outlook weighed on investor sentiment, particularly as the company’s recent performance had benefited from a late boost tied to China-bound AI chip sales that were approved under a US license. Those shipments contributed $390 million in revenue, providing a temporary lift to results.

Analysts noted that without the China-related sales, AMD’s data center segment would have fallen short of estimates in the fourth quarter. Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon said that in an increasingly competitive environment, overall performance appeared largely inline, with limited signs of near-term acceleration in AI-driven growth. He added that current AI revenue trends were not yet showing a meaningful inflection point, reinforcing concerns around the timing of stronger earnings contributions from AI products.

Chief Executive Officer Lisa Su sought to reassure investors by stating that demand for AMD’s next-generation AI servers is expected to accelerate significantly in the second half of the year. She highlighted shipments to customers including OpenAI and said that a global memory chip shortage would not act as a constraint on production. The comments pointed to management’s confidence in a stronger back-half performance, even as near-term forecasts remain under pressure.

Investor reaction to AMD’s results stood in sharp contrast to the performance of Super Micro Computer, whose shares jumped more than 10% after the company raised its annual revenue outlook. Super Micro cited sustained demand for AI-optimised servers, reinforcing expectations that spending on downstream AI infrastructure remains resilient. As a key partner to chip designers including Nvidia and AMD, Super Micro’s outlook suggests that demand is present across the AI supply chain, even as investors question how quickly chipmakers can convert that demand into consistent earnings growth.

Valuation comparisons further highlight diverging market expectations, with AMD trading at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 33.16, compared to Super Micro’s more modest multiple of 10.81. The disparity reflects differing views on growth visibility and execution risk as the AI sector continues to evolve.

Follow the SPIN IDG WhatsApp Channel for updates across the Smart Pakistan Insights Network covering all of Pakistan’s technology ecosystem.

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